Job Description

Role Overview

Produce expert-authored political forecasting and research data that helps evaluate and improve AI models on real political and financial analysis. The work focuses on elections, polling, and political-risk events, using only information available at a specified point in time.

Key Responsibilities

• Write political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
• Develop and document directional assessments of polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
• Explain the causal mechanisms through which events may affect politics and markets.
• Review and grade model-generated analyses against your own expert standard.

Qualifications

• Senior-level experience as an elections forecaster, campaign strategist, polling or statistical-methodology expert, or political-risk analyst.
• A demonstrated record of making live assessments of polling, win probabilities, or odds, rather than solely retrospective commentary.
• Strong command of polling analysis and causal event analysis.
• Typically 8 or more years of directly relevant experience, or compelling evidence of equivalent performance.
• Experience at national polling or election-forecasting organizations, major decision desks, senior analytics teams for presidential, Senate, or governor races, or political-risk teams at leading banks, funds, or firms is a strong signal. Direct experience and work-sample performance determine qualification.

Eligibility

• This role is not suited to communications, journalism, or academic backgrounds without demonstrated forecasting, polling, or probabilistic judgment.
• All work must rely on the designated evidence cutoff, without hindsight, data leakage, confidential information, or material non-public information.

Work Terms

• Remote, hourly engagement.

Compensation

• $150 to $250 per hour.

Job Tags

Similar Jobs